Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 5

May 5, 2023 at 4pm UK

Tammelan Stadion

Ilves
1 - 2
Oulu

Parfitt-Williams (16')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jokelainen (53'), Liimatta (90+3')

Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and Oulu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions

Last Game: Ilves 1-0 KTP
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Goals
for

Oulu

All competitions

Last Game: Oulu 0-3 SJK
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Ilves	Draw	Oulu
39.9% ( -0.09)	24.75% ( 0.03)	35.35% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 58.5% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.36% (

-0.13)

44.64% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33% (

-0.12)

67% (

0.13)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.69% (

-0.1)

22.31% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.22% (

-0.15)

55.78% (

0.15)

Oulu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.3% (

-0.03)

24.71% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.75% (

-0.04)

59.25% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Ilves 39.9%

Oulu 35.35%

Draw 24.75%

Ilves	Draw	Oulu
2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.9%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.75%	1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.35%