Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 4
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tammelan Stadion

Ilves
1 - 0
KTP

Haarala (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and KTP.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Last Game: KuPS 1-0 Ilves
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

KTP

All competitions
Last Game: KTP 2-1 Mariehamn
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for KTP had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest KTP win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.

Result
IlvesDrawKTP
40.04% (-0.483 -0.48)24.47% (0.106 0.11)35.5% (0.378 0.38)
Both teams to score 59.55% (-0.316 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.72% (-0.441 -0.44)43.28% (0.441 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.32% (-0.436 -0.44)65.68% (0.43600000000001 0.44)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-0.42 -0.42)21.65% (0.422 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (-0.647 -0.65)54.78% (0.649 0.65)
KTP Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.99% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.76% (0.007000000000005 0.01)58.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ilves 40.04%
    KTP 35.5%
    Draw 24.46%
IlvesDrawKTP
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.95% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.08% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 40.04%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.1 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.42% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.29% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.049 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.5%

Head to Head
Jun 30, 2021 4.30pm
gameweek 12
KTP
1-1
Ilves
Laaksonen (49')
Ramadingaye (74')
Vertainen (62')
Veteli (28'), Carlos Blanco (76')
May 28, 2021 4.30pm
gameweek 9
Ilves
2-0
KTP
Vertainen (66', 67')
Aspegren (79')

Sissoko (47'), Arranz (48'), Ramadingaye (52'), Ebwelle (79'), Lindfors (79'), Tamminen (90+1')