Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for KTP had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest KTP win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.