Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.