Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.