Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 7
May 21, 2023 at 2pm UK
Tammelan Stadion
HJK logo

Ilves
1 - 1
HJK Helsinki

Ngor (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Radulovic (90+4')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and HJK Helsinki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Last Game: SJK 1-0 Ilves
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 4-1 Inter Turku
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
IlvesDrawHJK Helsinki
36.85% (0.279 0.28)26.24% (-0.138 -0.14)36.91% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 53.44% (0.468 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82% (0.596 0.6)51.18% (-0.596 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.52 0.52)73.02% (-0.52 -0.52)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09% (0.44499999999999 0.44)26.91% (-0.444 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76% (0.58 0.58)62.24% (-0.581 -0.58)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (0.19799999999999 0.2)26.88% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81% (0.258 0.26)62.19% (-0.259 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Ilves 36.85%
    HJK Helsinki 36.91%
    Draw 26.23%
IlvesDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.069 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 36.85%
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 9.5% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-2 @ 8.2%
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.59% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 36.91%

Head to Head
Jul 23, 2022 12pm
gameweek 15
Ilves
1-2
HJK Helsinki
Larsson (35')
Radulovic (72'), Hoskonen (88')
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 6
HJK Helsinki
2-1
Ilves
Jair (76', 82')
Boujellab (59')
Vidjeskog (18')
Katz (45+1'), Leislahti (68')
Oct 16, 2021 1pm
gameweek 2
Ilves
2-3
HJK Helsinki
Carlos Murillo (2' og.), Ollila (83')
Siira (37'), Manga (47'), Loa Loa (90+3')
Moren (14'), Jair (45+3', 47')
Jun 18, 2021 4pm
gameweek 14
HJK Helsinki
2-1
Ilves
Valencic (8'), Jair (68')
Murnane (36' og.)
Siira (45+1'), Katz (65')
May 11, 2021 4.30pm
gameweek 6
Ilves
0-3
HJK Helsinki

Loa Loa (22'), Siira (33'), Katz (46'), Mommo (77')
O'Shaughnessy (8'), Lingman (25'), Terho (30')