Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Inter Turku had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Inter Turku win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.