Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KTP win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a KTP win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
KTP	Draw	HJK Helsinki
37.24% ( 0.14)	26.13% ( 0.01)	36.62% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 53.8% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.27% (

-0.03)

50.73% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.37% (

-0.03)

72.62% (

0.02)

KTP Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.52% (

0.06)

26.47% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.34% (

0.09)

61.66% (

-0.09)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17% (

-0.09)

26.83% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.87% (

-0.13)

62.13% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

KTP 37.24%

HJK Helsinki 36.62%

Draw 26.12%

KTP	Draw	HJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.24%	1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 36.62%