Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KTP win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a KTP win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.