Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for SJK in this match.