Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.