NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3

Apr 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Seaview

Crusaders
0 - 2
Larne

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ryan (12'), Bonis (62')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions

Last Game: Crusaders 3-1 Coleraine
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Larne

All competitions

Last Game: Cliftonville 0-2 Larne
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Larne had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Larne
40.8% ( 0.03)	27.66% ( -0.12)	31.53% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 48.06% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.41% (

0.46)

57.59% (

-0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.64% (

0.36)

78.36% (

-0.36)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.29% (

0.24)

27.71% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.73% (

0.3)

63.27% (

-0.3)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.48% (

0.3)

33.52% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.84% (

0.33)

70.16% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Crusaders 40.8%

Larne 31.53%

Draw 27.66%

Crusaders	Draw	Larne
1-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.8%	1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.66%	0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.53%