NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 33
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
3 - 0
Carrick

Clarke (66'), Owens (80'), Caddell (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Portadown 2-2 Crusaders
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Carrick 0-4 Glentoran
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 70.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 11.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
70.99%17.77%11.24%
Both teams to score 47.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08%41.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.68%64.32%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.46%10.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.74%34.26%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.61%46.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.98%82.02%
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 70.98%
    Carrick Rangers 11.24%
    Draw 17.77%
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
2-0 @ 12.37%
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 9.51%
3-0 @ 9.28%
3-1 @ 7.13%
4-0 @ 5.22%
4-1 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 2.74%
5-0 @ 2.35%
5-1 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 70.98%
1-1 @ 8.45%
0-0 @ 4.89%
2-2 @ 3.65%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 17.77%
0-1 @ 3.76%
1-2 @ 3.25%
0-2 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 11.24%

Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Carrick
0-3
Crusaders
Heatley (10'), Forsythe (43', 50')
Clarke (15')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Carrick
4-3
Crusaders
Allen (5', 55'), Cushley (15'), McGuckin (65')
Heatley (27'), Clarke (45+2'), Lowry (57')
Larmour (64')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
2-1
Carrick
Lecky (59'), Kennedy (90+6')
Lecky (63' og.)
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
0-0
Carrick

O'Rourke (28'), Heatley (56'), Caddell (58')

Cushley (51'), Gordon (57'), Cherry (61')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
0-2
Crusaders

Anderson (51'), Kelly (53'), Cushley (55'), Surgenor (58'), Ervin (86')
Heatley (69'), Kennedy (75')
(29')