NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 32
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Shamrock Park

Portadown
2 - 2
Crusaders

McElroy (33'), O'Sullivan (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Clarke (57'), Lowry (76')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newry City AFC 3-4 Portadown
Saturday, March 11 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 2-2 Cliftonville
Monday, March 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 73.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 10.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.58%) and 0-3 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-0 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
PortadownDrawCrusaders
10.01% (0.1351 0.14)16.6% (0.079000000000001 0.08)73.38% (-0.217 -0.22)
Both teams to score 47.58% (0.25 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96% (0.046000000000006 0.05)40.03% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.6% (0.049999999999997 0.05)62.4% (-0.052 -0.05)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.55% (0.299 0.3)47.45% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.17% (0.223 0.22)82.82% (-0.227 -0.23)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.54% (-0.041999999999987 -0.04)9.46% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.23% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)31.76% (0.09 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Portadown 10.01%
    Crusaders 73.37%
    Draw 16.6%
PortadownDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 3.35% (0.021 0.02)
2-1 @ 2.94% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 1.25% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 10.01%
1-1 @ 7.89% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.47% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 16.6%
0-2 @ 12.47% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-1 @ 10.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-3 @ 9.81% (-0.072999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 7.31% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 5.78% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 4.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 2.73% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.027 0.03)
1-5 @ 2.03% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.012 0.01)
0-6 @ 1.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 73.37%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
4-0
Portadown
Lecky (20', 47' pen.), Snelgrove (31'), Winchester (51')

Donnellan (66')
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
2-1
Portadown
Lowry (64'), McMurray (86')
McMurray (88'), (90+4')
Robinson (31')
Jenkins (32' pen.)
De Dieu Tantale (58'), Jenkins (70'), (90+4')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Crusaders
2-0
Portadown
Heatley (21'), Lowry (84')
(90+4')

Salley (30'), Bonis (76')
Aug 31, 2021 7.45pm
Crusaders
4-0
Portadown
Heatley (32'), McMurray (56'), Joe Burns (61'), Kennedy (66')
(58')