Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 73.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 10.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.58%) and 0-3 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-0 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.