Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 17.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Coleraine win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.