Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Haka had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Haka win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crusaders in this match.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Haka
37.63% ( 0.04)	25.38% ( -0)	37% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 56.43% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.62% (

0.02)

47.37% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.4% (

0.02)

69.59% (

-0.02)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.29% (

0.03)

24.71% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.75% (

0.05)

59.25% (

-0.05)

Haka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.94% (

-0.02)

25.05% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.27% (

-0.02)

59.73% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Crusaders 37.63%

Haka 37%

Draw 25.37%

Crusaders	Draw	Haka
1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.63%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.37%	0-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.78% Total : 37%