NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Solitude

Cliftonville
3 - 3
Crusaders

Hale (48'), Hale (50'), Gormley (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Heatley (1', 90+2'), O'Rourke (51')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Cliftonville and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cliftonville

All competitions
Last Game: Glentoran 3-0 Cliftonville
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 0-2 Larne
Friday, April 14 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
CliftonvilleDrawCrusaders
30.46% (0.325 0.32)27.44% (-0.166 -0.17)42.1% (-0.158 -0.16)
Both teams to score 48.3% (0.62 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.91% (0.71599999999999 0.72)57.09% (-0.717 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.03% (0.57 0.57)77.96% (-0.569 -0.57)
Cliftonville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.95% (0.622 0.62)34.04% (-0.622 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.27% (0.666 0.67)70.72% (-0.666 -0.67)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23% (0.25 0.25)26.77% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95% (0.328 0.33)62.04% (-0.326 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Cliftonville 30.46%
    Crusaders 42.1%
    Draw 27.44%
CliftonvilleDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-1 @ 6.97% (0.094 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.5% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.9% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 30.46%
1-1 @ 12.94% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.11% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.44%
0-1 @ 12.01% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.92% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.055 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 42.1%

Head to Head
Mar 13, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 31
Crusaders
2-2
Cliftonville
Forsythe (26'), Clarke (80')
McKeown (63'), Caddell (82'), Hegarty (85'), Forsythe (85')
Curran (35', 71')
Casey (53'), Parkhouse (85')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 21
Crusaders
3-0
Cliftonville
Turner (15'), Heatley (36'), Owens (86')

McDonagh (29')
Oct 7, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 10
Cliftonville
0-0
Crusaders

(36')
Apr 23, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 4
Crusaders
3-3
Cliftonville
Joe Burns (57'), Kennedy (63'), Forsythe (73')
(87')
Coates (31'), Curran (75', 80')
Coates (59')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 29
Cliftonville
3-1
Crusaders
Addis (13'), Curran (45+1'), Ives (79')
Kearns (65')
Robinson (42')
Heatley (30'), Lowry (70'), O'Rourke (76')
Caddell (27')