NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
1 - 3
Glenavon

Macuilaitis (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Doyle (32'), Fitzpatrick (50'), Henderson (90+4')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Portadown 3-1 Carrick
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Glenavon

All competitions
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-1 Glenavon
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawGlenavon
27.92% (0.213 0.21)26% (0.024000000000001 0.02)46.08% (-0.23 -0.23)
Both teams to score 51.21% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31% (0.035000000000004 0.04)52.69% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (0.030999999999999 0.03)74.33% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35% (0.188 0.19)33.64% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7% (0.202 0.2)70.29% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)22.83% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.45% (-0.136 -0.14)56.55% (0.141 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 27.92%
    Glenavon 46.08%
    Draw 25.99%
Carrick RangersDrawGlenavon
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.73% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.44% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.81% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 27.92%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 11.34% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.38% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 46.08%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
gameweek 26
Carrick
1-1
Glenavon
Birney (70' og.)
Cherry (9')
Wallace (88')
Snoddy (19'), Garrett (58'), O'Connor (75'), O'Connor (77'), Hamilton (89')
Malone (39')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 12
Glenavon
4-2
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (13'), Bradley (28'), Malone (82'), Snoddy (90+1')
Mitchell (15'), Anderson (49')
McGuckin (38')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 5
Glenavon
2-2
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (10'), McCloskey (23')
(11'), (50')
Garrett (59')
Mitchell (18'), Allen (64')
Ervin (55'), Cushley (66')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Carrick
0-1
Glenavon

Surgenor (31'), Cushley (41'), Carson (81'), Glendinning (90')
O'Connor (88')
Wallace (47'), Campbell (90')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
gameweek 31
Glenavon
2-0
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (66'), Singleton (79')
McCloskey (21'), O'Connor (60'), Singleton (71')

Ervin (21'), Chambers (90'), Kelly (90+3')