NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Newry City AFC
0 - 1
Glenavon

FT(HT: 0-0)
Malone (62')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Newry City AFC and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portadown 0-1 Newry City AFC
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 3-2 Ballymena
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Glenavon in this match.

Result
Newry City AFCDrawGlenavon
18.69% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)21.83% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)59.48% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.25% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.42% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)44.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.05%66.95% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.36% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)37.64% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.58% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)74.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.39% (0.0019999999999953 0)14.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.29% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)42.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newry City AFC 18.69%
    Glenavon 59.47%
    Draw 21.83%
Newry City AFCDrawGlenavon
1-0 @ 5.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 5.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 2.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 18.69%
1-1 @ 10.33%
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.83%
0-1 @ 10.57%
0-2 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-3 @ 6.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 6.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 3.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 3.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 3.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.5%
0-5 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 59.47%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Glenavon
0-2
Newry City AFC

Wallace (77'), Baird (83')
Adeyemo (24'), McGovern (38')
McGivern (59'), Donnelly (77'), Brady (79')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Glenavon
1-5
Newry City AFC
Doyle (87')
Snoddy (46'), Fitzpatrick (50'), Wallace (52')
McGovern (2', 9'), Hughes (15'), Carville (83'), Teelan (89')
King (53'), (90')
Mar 23, 2019 5.30pm
Oct 27, 2018 5pm
Glenavon
2-0
Newry City AFC
Hall (79'), Doherty (82')

Carville (84')