NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Shamrock Park

Portadown
3 - 1
Carrick

Friel (14', 86'), Archer (32')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tilney (59')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portadown

All competitions
Last Game: Portadown 0-1 Newry City AFC
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Carrick 2-0 Dungannon
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portadown would win this match.

Result
PortadownDrawCarrick Rangers
38.63% (0.232 0.23)25.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)35.41% (-0.217 -0.22)
Both teams to score 54.31% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.96% (0.024999999999999 0.02)50.04% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (0.022000000000002 0.02)72.02% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61% (0.14 0.14)25.39% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.81% (0.189 0.19)60.19% (-0.18 -0.18)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79% (-0.114 -0.11)27.22% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.37% (-0.155 -0.16)62.63% (0.162 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Portadown 38.63%
    Carrick Rangers 35.41%
    Draw 25.95%
PortadownDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.49% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.63%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.85% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.41%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Portadown
1-3
Carrick
Russell (24')
Wilson (64')
McGuckin (13'), Macuilaitis (54', 72')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Carrick
2-0
Portadown
Anderson (60'), Stewart (81')

Archer (74')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
2-0
Portadown
Stewart (45+1'), McGuckin (55')

McNally (10')
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Portadown
0-5
Carrick

(68')
Carson (19', 34'), Cushley (44'), Gibson (57'), Glendinning (76')
Forsythe (26'), Chambers (58')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
2-2
Portadown
Gordon (64'), Glendinning (71')
Cushley (67'), Cherry (75')
Gibson (51')
Ruddy (19'), Salley (41')
Salley (42'), Beverland (52')