Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.