NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 33
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Oval

Glentoran
5 - 1
Portadown

Donnelly (18', 28', 64'), Purkis (45+1', 56')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Wilson (55')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glentoran and Portadown.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glentoran

All competitions
Last Game: Carrick 0-4 Glentoran
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Portadown

All competitions
Last Game: Portadown 2-2 Crusaders
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 86.96%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 3.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 4-0 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.38%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (1.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.

Result
GlentoranDrawPortadown
86.96% (0.34 0.34)9.21% (-0.285 -0.29)3.82% (-0.056 -0.06)
Both teams to score 40.76% (0.943 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.11% (1.369 1.37)28.89% (-1.371 -1.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.16% (1.661 1.66)49.84% (-1.662 -1.66)
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.6% (0.28899999999999 0.29)4.4% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.86% (0.898 0.9)18.14% (-0.898 -0.9)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.63% (0.85899999999999 0.86)57.37% (-0.86 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.75% (0.47 0.47)89.25% (-0.471 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Glentoran 86.96%
    Portadown 3.82%
    Draw 9.21%
GlentoranDrawPortadown
3-0 @ 12.82% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-0 @ 12.31% (-0.47 -0.47)
4-0 @ 10.01% (0.036 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.88% (-0.472 -0.47)
3-1 @ 7.12% (0.073 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.84% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-0 @ 6.26% (0.152 0.15)
4-1 @ 5.56% (0.17 0.17)
5-1 @ 3.48% (0.175 0.18)
6-0 @ 3.26% (0.144 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.072 0.07)
6-1 @ 1.81% (0.126 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.087 0.09)
7-0 @ 1.45% (0.093 0.09)
5-2 @ 0.97% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 86.96%
1-1 @ 4.38% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-0 @ 2.52% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-2 @ 1.9% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 9.21%
0-1 @ 1.4% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 3.82%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Portadown
0-2
Glentoran

Wilson (36')
Murray (45+2'), Burns (85')
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
Portadown
0-3
Glentoran

Evans (57'), Conaty (82')
Singleton (19'), McMenamin (24'), Plum (73')
McMenamin (10')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Portadown
1-1
Glentoran
Conaty (90+1')
Salley (11'), Smith (27')
McMenamin (86')
Marron (49')
McClean (33')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Glentoran
3-1
Portadown
Donnelly (42', 62'), McMenamin (82')
McClean (19')
Ruddy (6')
Ruddy (33'), (79')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Glentoran
2-2
Portadown
McMenamin (12'), Donnelly (69' pen.)
McDaid (73')
Ruddy (42'), Bonis (81')
McKeown (50')
McCallum (68')