NIFL Premiership Gameweek 2
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT The Showgrounds
  • John McGuigan 31' yellowcard
  • Colin Coates 60' redcard
  • Scot Whiteside 79' yellowcard
  • Ryan Strain 90'+7' goal
  • goal Adam Lecky 16'
  • goal Jarlath O'Rourke 29'

Ballymena United vs Crusaders - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 4, 2023 7.45pm
Coleraine 2 - 1 Ballymena
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Noah Stewart

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 5.30pm
Crusaders 1 - 2 Glentoran
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Ben Kennedy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.11%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result

Ballymena United 18.15% (+0.06)
Draw 22.99% (+0.10)
Crusaders 58.86% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.63% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.75% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 50.25% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 27.79% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 72.21% (+0.26)
Over 4.5 13.17% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 86.82% (+0.18)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 58.41% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 41.58% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 21.93% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 78.07% (+0.09)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 83.24% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 16.76% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 53.31% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 46.69% (+0.28)

Score analysis

Ballymena United 18.15%
Draw 22.99%
Crusaders 58.84%
Ballymena United
1-0 @ 6.11% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 4.79% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.68% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.4% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.92% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.97% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 22.99%
Crusaders
0-1 @ 12.44% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 11.11% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.76% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 6.62% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 5.81% (-0.04)
0-4 @ 2.96% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.59% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
0-5 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 58.84%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 30
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 15
Nov 14, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview
  • goal Kym Nelson 80'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Seaview
  • Philip Lowry 29' goal
  • Jarlath O'Rourke 33' goal
  • Jordan Forsythe 82' goal
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Philip Lowry 9' goal
  • Jordan Forsythe 36' yellowcard
  • Jonathan McMurray 65' goal
  • goal Ryan Strain 52'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 15
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jude Winchester 43' yellowcard
  • Jude Winchester 58' goal
  • Paul McElroy 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Larmour 20'
  • yellowcard 88'
  • yellowcard 90'+5'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 8
Oct 9, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Jarlath O'Rourke 13'
  • yellowcard Billy Joe Burns 86'
  • yellowcard Aidan Wilson 87'
  • yellowcard Robbie Weir 89'