Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.11%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.