NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Jordan Gibson 87' goal
  • Kym Nelson 90'+4' goal

Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 11, 2023 7.45pm
Glenavon 3 - 2 Ballymena
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
David McDaid

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 11, 2023 7.45pm
Carrick 2 - 0 Dungannon
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
James Knowles

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result

Ballymena United 46.64% (-0.17)
Draw 25.24% (+0.02)
Dungannon Swifts 28.12% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.69% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.49% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.51% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.46% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.54% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.62% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 86.38% (-0.03)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 78.75% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 21.24% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 45.85% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 54.15% (+0.10)

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5 68.17% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 31.82% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 31.74% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 68.26% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Ballymena United 46.63%
Draw 25.24%
Dungannon Swifts 28.12%
Ballymena United
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.75% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 46.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.24%
Dungannon Swifts
0-1 @ 7.74% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.87% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.43% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.62% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.03% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.69% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 28.12%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 23
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Andy McGrory 52' goal
  • David McDaid 90'+5' goal
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stangmore Park
  • Michael O'Connor 29' goal
  • goal David McDaid 36'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stangmore Park
  • yellowcard Evan Tweed 14'
  • goal Joshua Kelly 51'
  • goal Conor Keeley 88'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stangmore Park
  • Rhyss Campbell 45' yellowcard
  • Jordan McMullan 50' goal
  • goal Paul McElroy 87'
  • goal Andy McGrory 90'+2'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sean Graham 54' yellowcard
  • Steven McCullough 88' goal
  • yellowcard Shane McGinty 43'
  • yellowcard Ethan McGee 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Ryan Mayse 59'
  • redcard Ryan Mayse 73'
  • yellowcard Luke McKendry 76'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 19
Dec 18, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Cahal McGinty 24' yellowcard
  • Ryan Mayse 56' yellowcard
  • Oisin Smyth 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy McGrory 15'
  • goal Kenneth Kane 22'
  • yellowcard Dougie Wilson 64'
  • goal Paul McElroy 90'+6'