NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
0 - 2
Newry City AFC


Mitchell (29'), Crowe (74'), Stewart (89'), Forsythe (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Forde (14'), Owens (34')
O'Connor (29'), Carroll (45'), Hughes (90')
Carroll (49')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ballymena 1-0 Carrick
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-3 Loughgall
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawNewry City AFC
42.92% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)25.67% (0.082999999999998 0.08)31.4% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.14% (-0.293 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.23% (-0.373 -0.37)49.76% (0.372 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.22% (-0.334 -0.33)71.77% (0.33499999999999 0.33)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93% (-0.178 -0.18)23.07% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09% (-0.263 -0.26)56.9% (0.262 0.26)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)29.62% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34% (-0.267 -0.27)65.65% (0.26600000000001 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 42.92%
    Newry City AFC 31.4%
    Draw 25.67%
Carrick RangersDrawNewry City AFC
1-0 @ 10.02% (0.099 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 42.92%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.31% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.4%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Carrick
0-2
Newry City AFC
Teelan (25', 36')
Feb 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 27
Newry City AFC
0-2
Carrick
McGuckin (27', 47')
Nov 12, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Newry City AFC
4-1
Carrick
Rocks (28'), Donnelly (64'), Teelan (67', 83')
Mitchell (41')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Carrick
2-1
Newry City AFC
Allen (37'), Gordon (76')
Lockhart (16')
(88')
Rocks (87')