Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Loughgall would win this match.