Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 12.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.64%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.