Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.