Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.