Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Glentoran in this match.

Result
Glenavon	Draw	Glentoran
32.11% ( -0.35)	25.22% ( 0.12)	42.67% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 55.93% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.42% (

-0.66)

47.58% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.22% (

-0.62)

69.78% (

0.61)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.93% (

-0.55)

28.07% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.27% (

-0.7)

63.73% (

0.7)

Glentoran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.75% (

-0.18)

22.25% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.32% (

-0.27)

55.68% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Glenavon 32.11%

Glentoran 42.67%

Draw 25.22%

Glenavon	Draw	Glentoran
1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.11%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.67%