NIFL Premiership
May 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Glentoran
5 - 0
Glenavon

McCullough (3'), McMenamin (35'), Garrett (53' og.), Donnelly (73'), Donnelly (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glentoran and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glentoran

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 1-2 Glentoran
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Glenavon

All competitions
Last Game: Glenavon 0-0 Portadown
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 15.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.

Result
GlentoranDrawGlenavon
62.28%22.02%15.71%
Both teams to score 46.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.76%50.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81%72.19%
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.4%15.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.42%44.57%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.34%44.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34%80.66%
Score Analysis
    Glentoran 62.27%
    Glenavon 15.71%
    Draw 22.02%
GlentoranDrawGlenavon
1-0 @ 12.94%
2-0 @ 12.02%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 7.45%
3-1 @ 6%
4-0 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 2.42%
5-0 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.12%
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 62.27%
1-1 @ 10.43%
0-0 @ 6.96%
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 22.02%
0-1 @ 5.61%
1-2 @ 4.21%
0-2 @ 2.26%
1-3 @ 1.13%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 15.71%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
gameweek 31
Glentoran
0-2
Glenavon

Wilson (19'), Kane (60'), McCarey (74')
McCloskey (26'), Fitzpatrick (73')
Ward (55')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Glentoran
0-0
Glenavon

Marshall (70'), McCartan (75')

Garrett (24'), Birney (49'), Kerr (54'), Fitzpatrick (54'), Snoddy (65'), Malone (75')
Stewart (75')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 8
Glenavon
2-1
Glentoran
Glynn (69'), Prendergast (72')
Kerr (28')
Wilson (45+2')
May 10, 2022 7.45pm
Glentoran
2-0
Glenavon
McMenamin (48'), Donnelly (72')

Wallace (78')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 29
Glenavon
2-4
Glentoran
Snoddy (9'), Campbell (61')
McCloskey (73')
McMenamin (20', 80', 90+6'), Donnelly (78')
Marshall (35'), McDaid (45+2'), McCarey (73'), McMenamin (90+4')