Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.