Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.24%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.