Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 9, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
The Showgrounds
Hamilton logo

Coleraine
1 - 3
Hamilton

Lynch (24')
Jarvis (37'), McKendry (61'), Cole (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Smith (11'), Zanatta (48'), Barjonas (82')
McGowan (39'), Zanatta (60'), Hendrie (86'), O'Hara (90'), Longridge (90+4')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Coleraine and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coleraine

All competitions
Last Game: Coleraine 1-3 Linfield
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Last Game: Stirling 2-2 Hamilton
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 20.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Coleraine win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.

Result
ColeraineDrawHamilton Academical
20.36% (-0.326 -0.33)23.16% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)56.47% (0.366 0.37)
Both teams to score 51.78% (-0.367 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07% (-0.242 -0.24)47.93% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.9% (-0.224 -0.22)70.1% (0.22200000000001 0.22)
Coleraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.21% (-0.474 -0.47)37.79% (0.47199999999999 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.44% (-0.466 -0.47)74.56% (0.46300000000001 0.46)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (0.042000000000002 0.04)16.76% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.3% (0.078000000000003 0.08)46.7% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Coleraine 20.36%
    Hamilton Academical 56.47%
    Draw 23.16%
ColeraineDrawHamilton Academical
1-0 @ 6.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.36% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 3% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.74% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 0.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 20.36%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.063 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.16%
0-1 @ 11.31% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 10.1% (0.127 0.13)
1-2 @ 9.83% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-3 @ 6.01% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.85% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.69% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.61% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.96% (0.016 0.02)
1-5 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 56.47%