Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Hamilton logo
Scottish League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fountain of Youth Stadium
Cove Rangers

Hamilton
1 - 0
Cove Rangers

Kerr (35' og.)
MacDonald (63'), Murray (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gallagher (33')
McGowan (82')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Hamilton Academical and Cove Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Last Game: Hamilton 2-2 Cove Rangers (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Cove Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Hamilton 2-2 Cove Rangers (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawCove Rangers
54.4% (-1.547 -1.55)22.99% (0.446 0.45)22.6% (1.102 1.1)
Both teams to score 55.52% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.49% (-0.676 -0.68)44.51% (0.679 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.12% (-0.658 -0.66)66.88% (0.66 0.66)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.73% (-0.767 -0.77)16.27% (0.77 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.18% (-1.412 -1.41)45.82% (1.415 1.42)
Cove Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31% (0.646 0.65)33.69% (-0.64400000000001 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (0.696 0.7)70.34% (-0.69500000000001 -0.7)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 54.4%
    Cove Rangers 22.61%
    Draw 22.99%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawCove Rangers
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-0 @ 5.47% (-0.277 -0.28)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.162 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.086 -0.09)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 54.4%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.159 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.99%
0-1 @ 5.97% (0.274 0.27)
1-2 @ 5.89% (0.221 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.203 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.116 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 22.61%

Head to Head
Jul 29, 2023 3pm
Group Stage
Hamilton
2-2
Cove Rangers
 Cove Rangers win 4-2 on penalties
O'Hara (13'), Tumilty (90+6')
Winter (27'), Hendrie (65'), MacDonald (87')
Gallagher (44'), Burrell (60')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Hamilton
1-1
Cove Rangers
Smith (62' pen.)
Longstaff (57')
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Cove Rangers
2-0
Hamilton
McIntosh (84', 87')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 13
Hamilton
4-4
Cove Rangers
Winter (44'), Ryan (53', 89'), Lawson (63' pen.)
Reynolds (10'), Megginson (42' pen., 48'), McDonagh (52')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cove Rangers
2-2
Hamilton
Masson (56'), McIntosh (84')
Reynolds (41')
Tiehi (41'), O'Reilly (59')
Martin (38')
rhs 2.0


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