Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 54.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 2-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.