Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 53.8%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 2-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
23.95% ( 0.67) | 22.25% ( 0.33) | 53.8% ( -1) |
Both teams to score 59.78% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.34% ( -0.8) | 39.66% ( 0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.99% ( -0.84) | 62.01% ( 0.84) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.14% ( 0.11) | 29.86% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.05% ( 0.13) | 65.95% ( -0.14) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.23% ( -0.6) | 14.77% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.98% ( -1.16) | 43.02% ( 1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
2-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.08% Total : 23.95% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 5.14% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 2.97% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.08) 1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.13% Total : 53.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |