Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 46.42% ( | 25.27% | 28.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.49% ( | 49.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.46% ( | 71.54% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.65% ( | 21.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.69% ( | 54.3% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% ( | 31.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.9% | 68.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.27% 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 3-1 @ 4.77% 3-0 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.47% Total : 46.41% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 1-2 @ 6.9% 0-2 @ 4.47% 1-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.78% Total : 28.31% |