Raith Rovers
Scottish Challenge Cup | Final
Mar 26, 2023 at 4.15pm UK
Stark's Park
Hamilton logo

Raith Rovers
0 - 1
Hamilton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Tumilty (30')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Final clash between Raith Rovers and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Raith Rovers 6-1 Cove Rangers
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Hamilton 0-2 Ayr
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 48.13%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Raith RoversDrawHamilton Academical
48.13%24.25%27.61%
Both teams to score 56.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.41%45.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.09%67.91%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96%19.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.39%50.61%
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83%30.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68%66.32%
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 48.13%
    Hamilton Academical 27.61%
    Draw 24.25%
Raith RoversDrawHamilton Academical
1-0 @ 9.53%
2-1 @ 9.47%
2-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 5.24%
3-0 @ 4.37%
3-2 @ 3.14%
4-1 @ 2.17%
4-0 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 48.13%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 5.74%
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.88%
1-2 @ 6.84%
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 2.73%
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 27.61%

How you voted: Raith Rovers vs Hamilton

Raith Rovers
62.5%
Draw
37.5%
Hamilton Academical
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Hamilton
0-1
Raith Rovers

Ryan (23')
Gullan (9')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Raith Rovers
3-1
Hamilton
Easton (5'), Connolly (50' pen.), Dick (80')
Brown (36')
Tiehi (17')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Hamilton
0-2
Raith Rovers
Easton (2'), Gullan (74')
Stanton (39'), Connolly (63')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Hamilton
0-2
Raith Rovers

O'Reilly (20')
Williamson (11', 58')
Matthews (33'), Stanton (52'), Mackie (90+2')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Raith Rovers
0-0
Hamilton

Benedictus (57'), Tumilty (90+1')

Martin (52'), Ryan (71')