Raith Rovers
Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stark's Park
Greenock Morton

Raith Rovers
1 - 1
Morton

Vaughan (61')
FT
(aet)
King (49')
Raith Rovers win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Raith Rovers and Greenock Morton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Ayr 2-0 Raith Rovers
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Arbroath 1-1 Morton
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Raith RoversDrawGreenock Morton
57.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.38%18.84% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.66% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.17% (0.007000000000005 0.01)50.83% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (0.0039999999999978 0)72.72% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)17.35% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.27% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)47.73% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.87% (0.010999999999996 0.01)41.13% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.33% (0.009999999999998 0.01)77.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 57.77%
    Greenock Morton 18.84%
    Draw 23.38%
Raith RoversDrawGreenock Morton
1-0 @ 12.49%
2-0 @ 10.94%
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.68%
4-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 2.49%
4-2 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 57.77%
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.38%
0-1 @ 6.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 18.84%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Morton
1-0
Raith Rovers
Gillespie (90+3' pen.)
Baird (30')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Raith Rovers
2-1
Morton
Dick (51'), Connolly (66')
Dick (45+1'), Patrick Nolan (60'), Brown (64'), O'Riordan (69')
Blues (80')
Blues (68'), Gillespie (71'), Baird (77'), Quitongo (90')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Raith Rovers
0-1
Morton

Benedictus (55')
Muirhead (65')
Oliver (35'), Blues (39')
Jan 28, 2022 7.45pm
Morton
2-2
Raith Rovers
Ugwu (25'), Muirhead (75')
Brandon (12'), Ledger (41'), Strapp (90+3')
Gullan (42' pen.), Tumilty (45+1')
Tumilty (24'), Stanton (71')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Raith Rovers
2-1
Morton
Connolly (31'), Ross (67')
Ross (32'), Zanatta (65')
Ledger (5')
McEntee (43'), Lithgow (45'), Oksanen (90+2')
Lithgow (72')