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Raith Rovers
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stark's Park
Hamilton logo

Raith Rovers
3 - 1
Hamilton

Easton (5'), Connolly (50' pen.), Dick (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tiehi (17')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Raith Rovers and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Raith Rovers 3-0 Partick
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 4-4 Cove Rangers
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith RoversDrawHamilton Academical
44.57% (-0.181 -0.18)25.36% (0.013000000000002 0.01)30.07% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 54.51% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.01% (0.016999999999996 0.02)48.99% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.92% (0.014999999999997 0.01)71.07% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)21.96% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)55.25% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (0.124 0.12)30.14% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.71% (0.15000000000001 0.15)66.29% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 44.57%
    Hamilton Academical 30.07%
    Draw 25.36%
Raith RoversDrawHamilton Academical
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.61% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.84% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 44.57%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 7.94% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.76% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 30.07%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Hamilton
0-2
Raith Rovers

O'Reilly (20')
Williamson (11', 58')
Matthews (33'), Stanton (52'), Mackie (90+2')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Hamilton
0-3
Raith Rovers

Matheson (24'), MacDonald (36'), Mimnaugh (53'), Stirling (85'), Ryan (89')
MacDonald (6' og.), Ross (34', 45')
Spencer (38'), Matthews (61'), Varian (77')
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Raith Rovers
4-4
Hamilton
Vaughan (13' pen., 65'), Zanatta (25'), Connolly (52')
Benedictus (47'), Poplatnik (59')
MacDonald (68', 83'), Ryan (78'), Want (90+2')