Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 44.57% ( | 25.36% ( | 30.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% ( | 48.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.92% ( | 71.07% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% ( | 21.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.75% ( | 55.25% ( |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.85% ( | 30.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.71% ( | 66.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 4-2 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 44.57% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0-3 @ 1.9% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.07% |