Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 48%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 48% ( | 26.62% ( | 25.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.4% ( | 56.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.42% ( | 77.58% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( | 23.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.3% ( | 57.7% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.13% ( | 37.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.36% ( | 74.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 12.9% ( 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 4-1 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.99% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0-0 @ 8.95% ( 2-2 @ 4.39% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 1.64% Total : 25.38% |