Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 37.97% ( | 27.46% ( | 34.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.71% ( | 56.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.68% ( | 77.32% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% ( | 28.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.48% ( | 64.52% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.21% ( | 30.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.94% ( | 67.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 3-0 @ 2.87% ( 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 4-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.97% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0-0 @ 8.84% ( 2-2 @ 4.78% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 10.4% ( 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0-2 @ 6.13% ( 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 2-3 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.56% |