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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
New Douglas Park
Arbroath

Hamilton
1 - 0
Arbroath

Lawson (58' pen.)
Winter (62'), Martin (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Allan (26'), Little (62'), Fosu (65')
O'Brien (56')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Hamilton Academical and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamilton Academical

Last Six:
Last Game: Hamilton 0-2 Raith Rovers
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Arbroath

Last Six:
Last Game: Arbroath 1-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawArbroath
46.8% (0.27399999999999 0.27)26.44% (-0.273 -0.27)26.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 49.04% (0.779 0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.91% (1.009 1.01)55.09% (-1.012 -1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.66% (0.826 0.83)76.34% (-0.828 -0.83)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.47% (0.566 0.57)23.52% (-0.569 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.43% (0.814 0.81)57.56% (-0.817 -0.82)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.13% (0.54599999999999 0.55)35.87% (-0.548 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.36% (0.558 0.56)72.64% (-0.56100000000001 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 46.8%
    Arbroath 26.75%
    Draw 26.43%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawArbroath
1-0 @ 12.21% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.84% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.37% (0.111 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 46.8%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.336 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 8.65% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-2 @ 6.42% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 26.75%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Hamilton
0-1
Arbroath

Ryan (29'), Spence (60'), Popescu (87')
Hamilton (59')
Hamilton (31'), Hamilton (90+1'), O'Brien (90+3')
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Arbroath
2-2
Hamilton
Low (38' pen.), McKenna (90+1' pen.)
Hamilton (56'), Little (87')
O'Reilly (25'), Ryan (45')
Popescu (38')
Spence (90+1')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Hamilton
1-1
Arbroath
Ryan (16' pen.)
Ryan (48'), Hamilton (60'), Mullin (80')
O'Brien (90+1')
Craigen (77')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Arbroath
4-0
Hamilton
Stewart (45+2'), McKenna (57'), Nouble (80'), Low (85')
Henderson (12')

Hamilton (72')
Aug 2, 2014 3pm
Hamilton
2-1
Arbroath
Imrie (3'), Longbridge (69')
Buchan (90')