| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Raith Rovers | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 3 | -2 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 45.94% ( | 26.85% ( | 27.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.68% ( | 56.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.65% ( | 77.35% ( |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% ( | 24.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.08% ( | 58.92% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( | 36.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.06% ( | 72.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% ( 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 4-0 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 45.94% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 2-2 @ 4.54% ( Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9% ( 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 2-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 27.21% |