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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Raith Rovers

Aberdeen
3 - 0
Raith Rovers

Miovski (6' pen.), McCrorie (39'), Hayes (46')
Richardson (84'), Stewart (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Stanton (6'), Coulson (84'), Dick (84')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Aberdeen and Raith Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 16.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawRaith Rovers
59.59% (1.384 1.38)23.43% (-0.801 -0.8)16.98% (-0.589 -0.59)
Both teams to score 45.24% (1.112 1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.36% (2.093 2.09)53.63% (-2.098 -2.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87% (1.735 1.74)75.13% (-1.741 -1.74)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (1.285 1.29)17.71% (-1.291 -1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63% (2.185 2.19)48.37% (-2.19 -2.19)
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.98% (0.5 0.5)45.01% (-0.505 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.05% (0.395 0.4)80.94% (-0.401 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 59.58%
    Raith Rovers 16.98%
    Draw 23.42%
AberdeenDrawRaith Rovers
1-0 @ 13.79% (-0.57 -0.57)
2-0 @ 11.94% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.147 0.15)
3-0 @ 6.89% (0.29 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.305 0.31)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.241 0.24)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.224 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.151 0.15)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.122 0.12)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 59.58%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 7.97% (-0.677 -0.68)
2-2 @ 3.81% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.42%
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.445 -0.44)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.01% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 16.98%

Head to Head
Aug 15, 2021 12pm
Raith Rovers
2-1
Aberdeen
Varian (48'), Zanatta (71')
Tait (66')
Emmanuel-Thomas (13')
Gurr (47')