Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.