Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 73.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 10.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Aberdeen in this match.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Dumbarton
73.01% ( 0.65)	16.55% ( -0.36)	10.43% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 49.43% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.52% (

0.9)

38.47% (

-0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.23% (

0.94)

60.77% (

-0.94)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.85% (

0.38)

9.15% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.97% (

0.91)

31.03% (

-0.9)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.41% (

0.06)

45.58% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.6% (

0.05)

81.4% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 73.01%

Dumbarton 10.43%

Draw 16.55%

Aberdeen	Draw	Dumbarton
2-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.99% Total : 73.01%	1-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.87% Total : 16.55%	0-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 10.43%