Scottish League One Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 3, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium
Edinburgh4 - 1Dumbarton
Coverage of the Scottish League One Playoffs Semi-Finals clash between Edinburgh City and Dumbarton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Annan 2-1 Edinburgh
Friday, May 13 at 7.30pm in Scottish League One Playoffs
Friday, May 13 at 7.30pm in Scottish League One Playoffs
Next Game: Airdrieonians vs. Edinburgh
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Annan Athletic | 35 | 14 | 59 |
4 | Edinburgh City | 35 | -1 | 52 |
5 | Stenhousemuir | 35 | 1 | 48 |
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One Playoffs
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One Playoffs
Next Game: Dumbarton vs. Stirling
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Clyde | 35 | -22 | 39 |
9 | Dumbarton | 35 | -24 | 31 |
10 | East Fife | 35 | -38 | 23 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Edinburgh City would win this match.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Dumbarton |
45.14% | 24.52% | 30.34% |
Both teams to score 57.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.81% | 45.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.46% | 67.54% |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.87% | 20.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.6% | 52.4% |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.96% | 28.04% |