| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 40 | 76 |
| 2 | Airdrieonians | 35 | 31 | 71 |
| 3 | Montrose | 35 | 20 | 59 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Clyde | 35 | -22 | 39 |
| 9 | Dumbarton | 35 | -24 | 31 |
| 10 | East Fife | 35 | -38 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-2 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 67.51% | 18.59% | 13.9% |
| Both teams to score 53.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.07% | 38.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.75% | 61.25% |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.4% | 10.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.6% | 34.4% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.81% | 40.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.18% | 76.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 9.78% 1-0 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 7.32% 4-0 @ 4.5% 4-1 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 3.34% 5-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.87% 5-1 @ 1.84% Other @ 4.41% Total : 67.51% | 1-1 @ 8.72% 2-2 @ 4.46% 0-0 @ 4.26% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.59% | 1-2 @ 3.97% 0-1 @ 3.89% 0-2 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.36% 1-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.71% Total : 13.9% |