| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Falkirk | 35 | -6 | 43 |
| 6 | Alloa Athletic | 35 | -11 | 42 |
| 7 | Peterhead | 35 | -5 | 41 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 40 | 76 |
| 2 | Airdrieonians | 35 | 31 | 71 |
| 3 | Montrose | 35 | 20 | 59 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 50.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 24.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 24.41% | 24.89% | 50.7% |
| Both teams to score 51.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.23% | 50.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.34% | 72.66% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.47% | 35.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.71% | 72.29% |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.97% | 20.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.76% | 52.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 7.36% 2-1 @ 6.13% 2-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.7% 3-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.41% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 11.44% 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-2 @ 9.2% 1-3 @ 5.1% 0-3 @ 4.93% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 2.05% 0-4 @ 1.98% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.77% Total : 50.7% |