Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 49.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Montrose |
| 49.42% | 25.49% | 25.09% |
| Both teams to score 50.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.4% | 52.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.75% | 74.25% |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% | 21.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.76% | 54.24% |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.07% | 35.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.3% | 72.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 11.83% 2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 9.15% 3-1 @ 4.83% 3-0 @ 4.72% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.4% Total : 49.42% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 7.83% 1-2 @ 6.2% 0-2 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.09% |